Wicked Verify - Will Florida record more than 142 million visitors in 2026?
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Rulebook commitment
Committed hash:
6b7869356917d24302a876493fff9de62b2574ab2219d366a9d3796005e89061
Recomputed hash:
6b7869356917d24302a876493fff9de62b2574ab2219d366a9d3796005e89061
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The live market still matches the committed rules.
Committed payload
slug=official-will-florida-record-more-than-142-millio-7bf1d412 resolves_at=2027-03-05T12:00:00Z opens_at=2026-09-28T21:44:58Z outcomes=0:YES|1:NO rulebook=Resolves Yes if VISIT FLORIDA's first official estimate of total visitors to Florida for calendar year 2026, counting domestic, Canadian and overseas visitor trips together and excluding Florida residents, as published at https://www.visitflorida.org/resources/research, is above 142.0 million. 142.0 million or fewer resolves No. Later revisions are ignored. Settled from VISIT FLORIDA's research release, then from the Office of the Governor of Florida's announcement of the figure, then from the Associated Press. If no calendar-year 2026 estimate has been published by 30 April 2027, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. You buy shares in an outcome at a price between 0 and 1, and you can place a sell order at any time while the market is open. It fills when a buyer takes it. When the result is confirmed, every share of the winning outcome pays 1 unit of the currency it was bought in, and every share of a losing outcome pays nothing. You pay a fee only when your order crosses the spread: 1.5% of the value it trades. Resting an order in the book is free. If the market is VOIDED we unwind every position: you get back the money still held against your orders, and we refund the fees you paid on this market. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it trades at the book's own prices, pays the same fees, and wins or loses at settlement by the rules above like every other position.
Rulebook
Resolves Yes if VISIT FLORIDA's first official estimate of total visitors to Florida for calendar year 2026, counting domestic, Canadian and overseas visitor trips together and excluding Florida residents, as published at https://www.visitflorida.org/resources/research, is above 142.0 million. 142.0 million or fewer resolves No. Later revisions are ignored. Settled from VISIT FLORIDA's research release, then from the Office of the Governor of Florida's announcement of the figure, then from the Associated Press. If no calendar-year 2026 estimate has been published by 30 April 2027, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. You buy shares in an outcome at a price between 0 and 1, and you can place a sell order at any time while the market is open. It fills when a buyer takes it. When the result is confirmed, every share of the winning outcome pays 1 unit of the currency it was bought in, and every share of a losing outcome pays nothing. You pay a fee only when your order crosses the spread: 1.5% of the value it trades. Resting an order in the book is free. If the market is VOIDED we unwind every position: you get back the money still held against your orders, and we refund the fees you paid on this market. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it trades at the book's own prices, pays the same fees, and wins or loses at settlement by the rules above like every other position.
